Festival of Evidence (October 4-5, 2016): Order of Play

Tuesday, October 4 th , 2016

Urgent Care

10:00 am Welcome Terry Young, Brunel
10:15 am Plenary: A fresh look at A&E data Julie Eatock, Brunel
10:45 am Break  
11:15 am Urgent care modelling round table. A table-top rotation session with an opportunity to share in the experiences of others or to present your own. Contributors:

  • David Bell, Brunel & Loy Lobo, Wegyanik – recent Cumberland Initiative studies
  • Julie Eatock, Brunel – catch up on the analysis of your A&E Department
  • Tracy England, Cardiff University – modelling 111 services.
  • Douglas McKelvie, The Symmetric Partnership – to be confirmed.
  • Doris Behrens and Jenny Morgan, Cardiff University – whole systems modelling of unscheduled care
 
1:00 pm Lunch  
1:45 pm Plenary: Transforming care – modelling for outcomes Jacqui White, NHSE
Claire Cordeaux, SIMUL8
2:30 pm Speed dating session: Scenario owners and data analysts and modellers around tables to discuss scenarios and the modelling options. Experts available from the Cumberland Initiative universities and companies.  
3:30 pm Break  
4:00 pm Plenary: Why we have to model in new ways Richard Gleave, PHE
4:45 pm Reflections on Day 1 Terry Young, Brunel
5:15 pm End of main programme for the day  
6:30 pm Conference Dinner, Copthorne Hotel  

 

Wednesday, October 5 th, 2016

Population Health

8:00 am Welcome to Breakfast and Day 2 Terry Young
8:10am Breakfast and interactive seminar
A look at healthcare modelling of the built environment in the US
David Morgareidge, Page
10:00 am Introduction to Population health Peter Lacey, WSP
10:10 am Plenary: Evidence from cognitive function and ageing studies Carol Brayne
10:410 am Plenary: Modelling population health and ageing Carol Jagger, Newcastle
11:10 am Break  
11:40 am Population health round table. A table-top rotation session with an opportunity to share in the experiences of others or to present your own. Contributors:

  • Claire Cordeaux, Simul8 – test out the NHS’ Financial LTC model
  • Chris Harwood, WSP – using the British Household Survey to populate health models.
  • Peter Lacey, WSP – Strategic Workforce Planning for population health needs
  • Peter Lacey, WSP – Strategic Workforce Planning for population health needs
  • Mark Tuson, Paul Harper and Doris Behrens, Cardiff University – social network models to counter obesity
 
1:10 pm Lunch  
2:00 pm Speed dating session: Scenario owners and data analysts and modellers around tables todiscuss scenarios and the modelling options. Contributors include

  • Sally Brailsford, Southampton – whole system capacity planning
  • Claire Cordeaux, Simul8 – topic to be confirmed
  • Abraham George, Kent Public Health – older people’s services in West Kent
  • Paul Turner, Lincoln & WSP – effects of migration on deprivation in rural areas
  • Peter Lacey, WSP – modelling dementia in the population
  • Marc Ruscan, University of Cardiff: Social network model of obesity.
  • Gill Smith, Pi – using linked data for service redesign and strategic workforce planning
  • David Whiting, Medway Public Health – topic to be confirmed
  • Other contributions welcome
 
3:30 pm Short break – grab a drink and return for…  
3:40pm Final reflections from round the tables  
4:00 pm End of programme